Part One: Probability

Probability and Sample Size Requirements

 

Minimal Sample Size as a Function of Probability

 

Suppose that we have an Event, E, with probability PE. Then the quantity (1/ PE) represents the sample size with an expected count  for E of 1. That is,

 

eE ≈ 1 for n ≈  (1/ PE).

 

Fixed Sample Size and Minimum Detectable Probability

 

For fixed sample size n, the quantity (1/n) represents the probability value for any event with a perfect count of 1. That is, if  PE = (1/n) for some event E, then the expected count for event E in samples of size n is 1. That is,

 

PE = (1/n)

 

eE = n*(1/n) = 1 for sample size n.