Course Slides, Case Studies and Summaries

Content, dates and details are subject to change and correction.

 

Color Code

Review Day

Test Day

No Class Day

Regular Session

 

Course Begins

Sessions: Part One Fall

M

W

11th January

Session 0.1

Overview

13th

Session 1.1

Samples, Probability

18th                    

Holiday

MLK Day

20th 

Session 1.2

Perfect Samples

25th 

Session 1.3

Discrete Models, Dice

27th                              

Session 1.4

Probability Computation

1st February                              

Session 1.5

Random Variables

3rd                               

Session 1.6

Sample Size, Probability

8th                               

Session 1.7

Conditional Probability

10th 

ORD.1

Open Review Day

15th                                  

HR.1

The First Hourly

 

11th January  / Session 0.1

Course Overview

13th January  / Session 1.1

Probability

Probability

 

Case Study 1.1

 

Ellsberg's Urns I

Ellsberg's Urns II

 

ÜSummaryÛ Updated 13th January 2010

 

18th January  / Holiday

 

MLK Day

 

Letter from Birmingham Jail

20th January / Session 1.2

Probability, Perfect Samples

Some Formulas

Counts, Proportions, Percentages Slides

Perfect Sample Slides

 

Case Study 1.2.2

 

Experiment

 

ÜSummaryÛ Updated 20th January 2010

 

25th January / Session 1.3

Discrete Models, Dice

Proportions

 

A Fair Three Sided Die

Case Study 1.5

Random Variable

A Pair of Dice

 

ÜSummaryÛ  Updated 25th January 2010

 

 

 

27th January  / Session 1.4

 

Events and Probability Rules

Rules Demo I - A Fair d6

Color Sequence Experiment

An Extended Example: The Binomial Distribution, Random Variables, Probability Rules and Expected Counts

 

ÜSummaryÛ Updated and Revised 27th January 2010

 

1st February / Session 1.5

 

Random Variables

 

Case Study 1.7

Case Study 1.8

Case Study 1.9

 

Data

 

ÜSummaryÛ Updated and Revised 1st February 2010

 

 

3rd February / Session 1.6

 

Sample Size, Probability

 

Rare Event Approach

Sample Size and Probability

 

Case Study 1.10

Case Study 1.10A

 

ÜSummaryÛ  Updated and Revised 3rd February 2010

 

8th February / Session 1.7

Conditional Probability

 

Conditional Probability

Yet More Conditional Probability

How to compute a Conditional Probability

 

Conditional Probability Slides

 

A Demonstration - Three Dice

 

Case Study 1.11

Case Study 1.12

Case Study 1.13

 

An Application of Conditional Probability: Disease Screening

 

ÜSummaryÛ Draft Summary Loaded 27th January 2010

 

10th February / ORD.1

 

Open Review Day for the First Hourly

 

Open Review Day

 

15th February / HR.1

 

The First Hourly

 

The First Hourly

 

Sessions: Part Two

M

W

17th   

Session 2.1

Clinical Trial Overview

22nd    

Session 2.2

Clinical Trial Sketch

24th    

Session 2.3

Sample Survey

1st March   

Session 2.4

Design Fault Spot

3rd    

Session 2.5

Descriptive Statistics

8th                    

Holiday

Spring Break

10th                    

Holiday

Spring Break

15th  

Session  2.6

Summary Intervals

17th 

ORD.2

Open Review Day

22nd   

HR.2
The Second Hourly

 

 

 

17th February / Session 2.1

 

Clinical Trial Overview

 

History presents concise history of the Clinical Trial

 

Clinical Trial Design Overview

Steps / Clinical Trial

 

A Primer for Vaccines

A Primer for Cancer

 

Clinical Trial Subjects Bill of Rights

Supplemental Clinical Trial Notes

 

FDA Trials

 

22nd February / Session 2.2

 

Clinical Trial Sketch

 

Case Study - AIDSVAX

Case Study - Taxol and End Stage Cervical Cancer

Case Study - Gastric Adenocarcinoma

Case Study - Preeclampsia I

Case Study - Preeclampsia II

Case Study - Myocardial Infarction

Case Study - Traumatic Brain Injury

Case Study - Carbon Monoxide Intoxication

Case Study - Ocular Hypertension

Case Study - Diabetes Insipidus

Case Study - TheraVaxHIV      

Case Study - Pick's Disease

Case Study - Parkinson's Disease

Case Study - Herceptin

 

 

Informed Consent

Glossary defines terms associated with Clinical Trials

About Placebo


The ACCORD Study

What About Vioxx?

Gardasil: Prophylactic HPV Vaccine

 

Seven Steps to Understanding a Clinical Trial

Avastin and Choice of Endpoints: Overall Survival versus Progression-free Survival

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ Study This And Work On Clinical Trial Sketch

 

 

24th February / Session 2.3

 

Sample Survey Design Hypermedia Resources

http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/horp/classes/api214/Intro_Lecture.ppt

http://www.myhistory.org/historytopics/articles/public_opinion_polling.html

http://www.pbs.org/fmc/segments/progseg7.htm

http://www.hannibal.net/stories/101998/Pollstersrecall.html

http://www.hbstaff.com/political.htm

http://www.public.iastate.edu/~jhutter/406/lectureoutline.doc

http://www.cwrl.utexas.edu/~tonya/309m/class/paper4/bowser/opinpoll.htm

http://www.csudh.edu/dearhabermas/sampling01.htm

http://www.bartleby.com/65/po/poll.html

http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~rgould/m12s01/survey.pdf

http://wwwstat.ucla.edu/~rgould/m12s01/survey.pdf

http://www.kellogg.nwu.edu/faculty/weber/decs-439b/A_Primer_on_Polls.htm

http://fly.hiwaay.net/~jmcmulle/450polls.htm

http://stat.tamu.edu/~amang/307/J307ch01.pdf

 

Pew Center Links

http://people-press.org/

http://people-press.org/reports/

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=12

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=89

 

Sample Survey Design Outline

Survey Sampling

Respondent Rights

 

Supplemental Sample Survey Notes

Sampling Designs

glossary gives a glossary of terms used in Sample Survey Designs.

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

1st March  / Session 2.4

 

Design Fault Spot

 

Design Faults – Clinical Trials

 

Clinical Trial Design Faults

Case Study 8

 

Design Faults – Sample Surveys

 

Sample Survey Design Faults

Case Study 7 

 

The Pew Survey on Religion in the US - An example of a good survey

An IRS Survey on Taxpayer Attitudes on Taxes - An example of a dubious survey

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ Study this and work on Design Fault Spot

 

 

 

3rd March / Session 2.5

Descriptive Statistics

The Calculator

A Google Search for Help with the TI-83

Guidebooks for the TI Calculator Series

Making Friends with Your Calculator

http://www.math.tamu.edu/~khalman/calculator.htm

http://www.willamette.edu/~mjaneba/help/TI-82-stats.htm

 

Descriptive Statistics

 

Percentiles Sketch

Location - Measures of Location in Samples and Populations

Dispersion  

 

Case Study 3.1 – Serum Creatinine

Case Study 3.2 – Barrels of Monkeys

 

ÜSummaryÛ  Work on Descriptive Statistics Cases

 

 

 

8th , 10th March / No Classes

 

Spring Break

 

 

15th March / Session  2.6

 

Summary Intervals – Tchebysheff’s Inequalities and the Empirical Rule

 

Summary Intervals 1

Summary Intervals 2

 

Case Study 4 - Diseased Monkeys

Case Study 4.1 – Additional Case TBA

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ  Work on Summary Intervals Cases

 

 

 

17th March / ORD.2

 

Open Review Day / 2nd Hourly

Preparing for the Second Hourly

22ND March / HR.2

 

In-class Test Day / The Second Hourly

 

Sessions: Part Three

M

W

24th                                   

Session 3.1

Overview, Confidence Intervals

29th                                  

Session 3.2

Confidence Intervals, Mean

31st                                  

Session 3.3

Confidence Intervals, Proportion

5th April                                 

Session 3.4

Overview, Hypothesis Testing

7th

Session 3.5

Population Median Test

12th 

Session 3.6

Population Category Test

14th 

Open Review Day

3rd Hourly

19th

HR.3

The Third Hourly

 

 

 

 

24th March / Session 3.1

Overview, Confidence Intervals

29th March / Session 3.2

Confidence Estimation of the Population Mean

 

Families gives perspectives on Families of Samples and Families of Estimates

Family2 gives yet more fun insights on Families of Samples, Intervals, Errors

bell curves and sample means gives insights on the approximate behavior of sample means.

a few notes about statistical inference

 

Confidence Intervals

Verification of the 95% Confidence Principle

mean tables gives tables for means and proportions intervals and  proportions.

confidence interval steps

CI Mean Slides

 

Case Study 1

Case Study 2

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

31st March / Session 3.3

Confidence Intervals, Proportion

Confidence Estimation of the Population Proportion

 

Verification of the 95% Confidence Principle

 

CI Proportion Slides

proportions gives different viewpoints on the proportion in Statistics

 

Case Study 3

Case Study 4

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

5th April / Session 3.4

 

Overview, Hypothesis Testing

 

The Hypothesis Test and Decision Theory

 

The idea of a statistical test is explored here.

The idea of a statistical test is further clarified

Hypothesis Test Schematic

Hypothesis Test Slides    

 

 

7th April / Session 3.5

Population Median Test

Hypothesis Test – Population Median

Median Test Slides

Median Test Examples

median presents the idea of the Sign Test of the Median

median test presents the Sign Test of the Median

median table presents p-values for the median test

median pictures a graphical view of the sign test

median test steps

 

Case Study 7

Case Study 8

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

12th April / Session 3.6

 

Hypothesis Test – Categorical Goodness-of-Fit

 

goodness of fit test slides

goodness of fit example

good tables give tables for the goodness-of-fit test

goodness of fit test steps

 

Case Study 9

Case Study 10

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle - Fall 2007 Update

Verification of the 5% testing principle - Spring 2008 Update

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

14th April / ORD.3

 

Open Review Day / 3rd Hourly

 

19th April / HR.3

 

In-class Test Day / The Third Hourly

The Endgame

M

W

19th

HR.3

The Third Hourly

21st    

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

26th   

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

28th   

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

3rd May

Final Exam (6.30pm Section)

6.30-8.30 pm

5th    

Final Exam (8.00pm Section)

8.00-10.00 pm

 

Preparing for the Comprehensive Final

Comprehensive Final Archive

Course Ends