Course Slides, Case Studies and Summaries

Content, dates and details are subject to change and correction.

 

Color Code

Review Day

Test Day

No Class Day

Regular Session

 

14th                               

Session 1.7

Conditional Probability

16th 

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes

21st

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes  

23rd                                

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes  

28th                                

In-class Test Day

The First Hourly

30th   

Session 2.1

Clinical Trial Sketch

5th October

Session 2.2

Design Fault Spot

7th

Session 2.3

Descriptive Statistics

12th  

No Classes

14th  

Session  2.4

Summary Intervals

19th 

Open Review Day

2nd Hourly

21st  

In-class Test Day

The Second Hourly

 

 

 

 

 

M

W

17th August

Session 0.1

Overview

19th

Session 1.1

Samples, Probability

24th 

Session 1.2

Perfect Samples

26th 

Session 1.3

Discrete Models, Dice

31st                              

Session 1.4

Probability Computation

2nd September                              

Session 1.5

Random Variables

7th                    

Holiday

Labor Day

9th                               

Session 1.6

Sample Size, Probability

14th                               

Session 1.7

Conditional Probability

16th 

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes

21st

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes  

23rd                                

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes  

28th                                

In-class Test Day

The First Hourly

30th   

Session 2.1

Clinical Trial Sketch

5th October

Session 2.2

Design Fault Spot

7th

Session 2.3

Descriptive Statistics

12th  

No Classes

14th  

Session  2.4

Summary Intervals

19th 

Open Review Day

2nd Hourly

21st  

In-class Test Day

The Second Hourly

26th                                 

Session 3.1

Overview, Confidence Intervals

28th                                 

Session 3.2

Confidence Intervals, Mean

2nd November                                 

Session 3.3

Confidence Intervals, Proportion

4th

Session 3.4

Overview, Hypothesis Testing

9th                                  

Session 3.5

Population Median Test

11th                                 

Session 3.6

Population Category Test

16th 

Open Review Day

3rd Hourly

18th   

In-class Test Day

The Third Hourly

23rd  

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

25th                     

Holiday

Fall Break

30th   

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

2nd December  

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

7th    

Final Exam (6.30pm Section)

6.30-8.30 pm

9th    

Final Exam (8.00pm Section)

8.00-10.00 pm

 

Course Begins

Sessions: Part One Fall

M

W

17th August

Session 0.1

Overview

19th

Session 1.1

Samples, Probability

24th 

Session 1.2

Perfect Samples

26th 

Session 1.3

Discrete Models, Dice

31st                              

Session 1.4

Probability Computation

2nd September                              

Session 1.5

Random Variables

7th                    

Holiday

Labor Day

9th                               

Session 1.6

Sample Size, Probability

14th                               

Session 1.7

Conditional Probability

16th 

Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes

21st

Open Review Day

1st Hourly

23rd                                

In-class Test Day

The First Hourly

17th August  / Session 0.1

Course Overview

19th August  / Session 1.1

Probability

Probability

 

Case Study 1.1

 

Ellsberg's Urns I

Ellsberg's Urns II

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

24th August / Session 1.2

Probability, Perfect Samples

Some Formulas

Counts, Proportions, Percentages Slides

Perfect Sample Slides

 

Case Study 1.2.1

Case Study 1.2.2

 

Experiment

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

26th August / Session 1.3

Discrete Models, Diceo

Proportions

 

A Fair Three Sided Die

Case Study 1.5

Random Variable

A Pair of Dice

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

 

 

31st August  / Session 1.4

 

Events and Probability Rules

Rules Demo I - A Fair d6

Color Sequence Experiment

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

2nd September / Session 1.5

 

Random Variables

 

Case Study 1.7

Case Study 1.8

Case Study 1.9

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

7th  September / Holiday

 

Labor Day

 

9th September / Session 1.6

 

Sample Size, Probability

 

Rare Event Approach

Sample Size and Probability

 

Case Study 1.10

Case Study 1.10A

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

14th September / Session 1.7

Conditional Probability

 

Conditional Probability

Yet More Conditional Probability

How to compute a Conditional Probability

 

Conditional Probability Slides

 

A Demonstration - Three Dice

 

Case Study 1.11

Case Study 1.12

Case Study 1.13

 

An Application of Conditional Probability: Disease Screening

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

16th September / Rain, Floods, Traffic, Mayhem

No Classes

 

21st September / Open Review Day / 1st Hourly

 

23rd September / In-class Test Day / The First Hourly

Sessions: Part Two Fall

 

30th   

Session 2.1

Clinical Trial Sketch

5th October

Session 2.2

Design Fault Spot

7th

Session 2.3

Descriptive Statistics

12th  

No Classes

14th  

Session  2.4

Summary Intervals

19th 

Open Review Day, 2nd Hourly

Preparing for the Second Hourly

21st  

In-class Test Day

The Second Hourly

 

30th  September / Session 2.1

 

Clinical Trial Overview

 

History presents concise history of the Clinical Trial

 

Clinical Trial Design Overview

Steps / Clinical Trial

 

A Primer for Vaccines

A Primer for Cancer

 

Clinical Trial Subjects Bill of Rights

Supplemental Clinical Trial Notes

 

FDA Trials

 

Clinical Trial Sketch

 

Case Study - AIDSVAX

Case Study - Taxol and End Stage Cervical Cancer

Case Study - Gastric Adenocarcinoma

Case Study - Preeclampsia I

Case Study - Preeclampsia II

Case Study - Myocardial Infarction

Case Study - Traumatic Brain Injury

Case Study - Carbon Monoxide Intoxication

Case Study - Ocular Hypertension

Case Study - Diabetes Insipidus

Case Study - TheraVaxHIV      

Case Study - Pick's Disease

Case Study - Parkinson's Disease

Case Study - Herceptin

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ Study This And Work On Clinical Trial Sketch

 

 

 

5th October / Session 2.2

 

 

Informed Consent

Glossary defines terms associated with Clinical Trials

About Placebo


Design Faults – Clinical Trials

 

Clinical Trial Design Faults

Case Study 8

 

The ACCORD Study

What About Vioxx?

Gardasil: Prophylactic HPV Vaccine

 

Seven Steps to Understanding a Clinical Trial

Avastin and Choice of Endpoints: Overall Survival versus Progression-free Survival

 

Design Fault Spot – Sample Surveys

 

Sample Survey Design Hypermedia Resources

http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/horp/classes/api214/Intro_Lecture.ppt

http://www.myhistory.org/historytopics/articles/public_opinion_polling.html

http://www.pbs.org/fmc/segments/progseg7.htm

http://www.hannibal.net/stories/101998/Pollstersrecall.html

http://www.hbstaff.com/political.htm

http://www.public.iastate.edu/~jhutter/406/lectureoutline.doc

http://www.cwrl.utexas.edu/~tonya/309m/class/paper4/bowser/opinpoll.htm

http://www.csudh.edu/dearhabermas/sampling01.htm

http://www.bartleby.com/65/po/poll.html

http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~rgould/m12s01/survey.pdf

http://wwwstat.ucla.edu/~rgould/m12s01/survey.pdf

http://www.kellogg.nwu.edu/faculty/weber/decs-439b/A_Primer_on_Polls.htm

http://fly.hiwaay.net/~jmcmulle/450polls.htm

http://stat.tamu.edu/~amang/307/J307ch01.pdf

 

Pew Center Links

http://people-press.org/

http://people-press.org/reports/

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=12

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=89

 

Sample Survey Design Outline

Survey Sampling

Respondent Rights

 

Supplemental Sample Survey Notes

Sampling Designs

glossary gives a glossary of terms used in Sample Survey Designs.

 

Design Faults – Sample Surveys

 

Sample Survey Design Faults

Case Study 7 

 

The Pew Survey on Religion in the US - An example of a good survey

An IRS Survey on Taxpayer Attitudes on Taxes - An example of a dubious survey

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ Study this and work on Design Fault Spot

 

 

 

 

7th October / Session 2.3

Descriptive Statistics

The Calculator

Making Friends with Your Calculator

http://www.geocities.com/calculatorhelp/ti83

http://www.lrc.edu/mat/ti83_statistics.htm

http://www.math.tamu.edu/~khalman/calculator.htm

http://east.chclc.org/russo/ti3801.htm

http://www.willamette.edu/~mjaneba/help/TI-82-stats.htm

http://faculty.purduenc.edu/jkuhn/courses/previous/workbooks/301/lab1.pdf

http://instruct1.cit.cornell.edu/courses/arme210/TI83.pdf

 

Descriptive Statistics

 

Location - Measures of Location in Samples and Populations

Dispersion  

 

Case Study 3.1 – Serum Creatinine

Case Study 3.2 – Barrels of Monkeys

 

ÜSummaryÛ  Work on Descriptive Statistics Cases

 

 

 

12th October / No Classes

 

14th October / Session  2.4

 

Summary Intervals – Tchebysheff’s Inequalities and the Empirical Rule

 

Summary Intervals 1

Summary Intervals 2

 

Case Study 4 - Diseased Monkeys

Case Study 4.1 – Additional Case TBA

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ  Work on Summary Intervals Cases

 

 

 

19th October / Open Review Day / 2nd Hourly

Preparing for the Second Hourly

21st  October / In-class Test Day / The Second Hourly

 

Sessions: Part Three Fall

26th                                 

Session 3.1

Overview, Confidence Intervals

28th                                 

Session 3.2

Confidence Intervals, Mean

2nd November                                 

Session 3.3

Confidence Intervals, Proportion

4th

Session 3.4

Overview, Hypothesis Testing

9th                                  

Session 3.5

Population Median Test

11th                                 

Session 3.6

Population Category Test

16th 

Open Review Day

3rd Hourly

18th   

In-class Test Day

The Third Hourly

 

26th October / Session 3.1

Overview, Confidence Intervals

28th October / Session 3.2

Confidence Estimation of the Population Mean

 

Families gives perspectives on Families of Samples and Families of Estimates

Family2 gives yet more fun insights on Families of Samples, Intervals, Errors

bell curves and sample means gives insights on the approximate behavior of sample means.

a few notes about statistical inference

 

Confidence Intervals

Verification of the 95% Confidence Principle

mean tables gives tables for means and proportions intervals and  proportions.

confidence interval steps

CI Mean Slides

 

Case Study 1

Case Study 2

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

2nd November / Session 3.3

Confidence Intervals, Proportion

Confidence Estimation of the Population Proportion

 

CI Proportion Slides

proportions gives different viewpoints on the proportion in Statistics

 

Case Study 3

Case Study 4

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

4th November / Session 3.4

 

Overview, Hypothesis Testing

 

The Hypothesis Test and Decision Theory

 

The idea of a statistical test is explored here.

The idea of a statistical test is further clarified

Hypothesis Test Schematic

Hypothesis Test Slides    

 

 

9th November / Session 3.5

Population Median Test

Hypothesis Test – Population Median

Median Test Slides

Median Test Examples

median presents the idea of the Sign Test of the Median

median test presents the Sign Test of the Median

median table presents p-values for the median test

median pictures a graphical view of the sign test

median test steps

 

Case Study 7

Case Study 8

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

11th November / Session 3.6

 

Hypothesis Test – Categorical Goodness-of-Fit

 

goodness of fit test slides

goodness of fit example

good tables give tables for the goodness-of-fit test

goodness of fit test steps

 

Case Study 9

Case Study 10

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle

Verification of the 5% testing principle - Fall 2007 Update

Verification of the 5% testing principle - Spring 2008 Update

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

16th November / Open Review Day / 3rd Hourly

 

18th November / In-class Test Day / The Third Hourly

The Endgame

23rd  

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

25th                     

Holiday

Fall Break

30th   

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

2nd December  

Open Review Day

Comprehensive Final Exam

7th    

Final Exam (6.30pm Section)

6.30-8.30 pm

9th    

Final Exam (8.00pm Section)

8.00-10.00 pm

Preparing for the Comprehensive Final

Comprehensive Final Archive

Course Ends