Course Slides, Case Studies and Summaries

Content, dates and details are subject to change and correction.

 

Color Code

Review Day

Test Day

No Class Day

Regular Session

 

M

W

 

26th May

Session 0.1: Overview, Session 1.1: Probability

31st May                    

Holiday: No Classes

2nd June 

Session 1.2: Perfect Samples, Random Variables

7th June 

Session 1.3: Probability Rules, Rare Events

9th June                             

Session 1.4: Conditional Probability, Clinical Trials

14th June                              

Session 1.5: Clinical Trials, Sample Surveys

16th June 

ORD.1: Open Review Day, The First Hourly     

21st June                                 

HR.1: The First Hourly                              

23rd June   

Session 2.1: Descriptive Statistics

28th June

Session 2.2: Summary Intervals , Confidence Estimation

Confidence Intervals – Mean, Proportion

30th June

Session 2.3: Confidence Intervals – Proportion

Population Inference – Hypothesis Tests

5th July                    

Holiday: No Classes

7th July

Session 2.4: Hypothesis Tests, Population Median

12th July

Session 2.5: Hypothesis Tests, Population Categories

14th July

ORD.2: Open Review Day 

19th July

HR.2: The Second Hourly

21st July

Open Review Day: Comprehensive Final Exam

26th July

Final Exam (8.00pm Section): 8.00-10.00 pm


Course Begins

Sessions: Part One

M

W

 

26th May

Session 0.1: Overview, Session 1.1: Probability

31st May                    

Holiday: No Classes

2nd June 

Session 1.2: Perfect Samples, Random Variables

7th June 

Session 1.3: Probability Rules, Rare Events

9th June                             

Session 1.4: Conditional Probability, Clinical Trials

14th June                              

Session 1.5: Clinical Trials, Sample Surveys

16th June 

ORD.1: Open Review Day, The First Hourly     

21st June                                 

HR.1: The First Hourly                              

 

 

 

 

 

 

26th May / Session 0.1, Session 1.1

Course Overview

Probability

Probability

 

Case Study 1.1

 

Ellsberg's Urns I

Ellsberg's Urns II

 

Probability, Perfect Samples

Some Formulas

Counts, Proportions, Percentages Slides

Perfect Sample Slides

 

Case Study 1.2.2

 

Experiment

 

Data for Cases

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

31st May  / Holiday

 

No Classes

 

2nd June / Session 1.2

Discrete Models, Dice

Proportions

 

A Fair Three Sided Die

Case Study 1.5

Random Variable

A Pair of Dice

 

Data for Cases

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

7th June  / Session 1.3

 

Probability Rules

 

Events and Probability Rules

Rules Demo I - A Fair d6

Color Sequence Experiment

An Extended Example: The Binomial Distribution, Random Variables, Probability Rules and Expected Counts

 

Random Variables

 

Case Study 1.7

Case Study 1.8

Case Study 1.9

 

Data

 

Sample Size, Probability

 

Rare Event Approach

Sample Size and Probability

 

Case Study 1.10

Case Study 1.10A

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

9th June / Session 1.4

Conditional Probability

 

Conditional Probability

Yet More Conditional Probability

How to compute a Conditional Probability

 

Conditional Probability Slides

 

A Demonstration - Three Dice

 

Case Study 1.11

Case Study 1.12

Case Study 1.13

 

An Application of Conditional Probability: Disease Screening

 

Clinical Trial Overview

 

History presents concise history of the Clinical Trial

 

Clinical Trial Design Overview

Steps / Clinical Trial

 

A Primer for Vaccines

A Primer for Cancer

 

Clinical Trial Subjects Bill of Rights

Supplemental Clinical Trial Notes

 

FDA Trials

 

Malignant Melanoma – A Clinical Trial

 

Data

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

 

14th June / Session 1.5

 

Clinical Trials

 

Case Study - AIDSVAX

Case Study - Taxol and End Stage Cervical Cancer

Case Study - Gastric Adenocarcinoma

Case Study - Preeclampsia I

Case Study - Preeclampsia II

Case Study - Myocardial Infarction

Case Study - Traumatic Brain Injury

Case Study - Carbon Monoxide Intoxication

Case Study - Ocular Hypertension

Case Study - Diabetes Insipidus

Case Study - TheraVaxHIV      

Case Study - Pick's Disease

Case Study - Parkinson's Disease

Case Study - Herceptin

 

 

Informed Consent

Glossary defines terms associated with Clinical Trials

About Placebo


The ACCORD Study

What About Vioxx?

Gardasil: Prophylactic HPV Vaccine

 

Seven Steps to Understanding a Clinical Trial

Avastin and Choice of Endpoints: Overall Survival versus Progression-free Survival

 

Sample Survey Designs

 

Sample Survey Design Hypermedia Resources

http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/horp/classes/api214/Intro_Lecture.ppt

http://www.myhistory.org/historytopics/articles/public_opinion_polling.html

http://www.pbs.org/fmc/segments/progseg7.htm

http://www.hannibal.net/stories/101998/Pollstersrecall.html

http://www.hbstaff.com/political.htm

http://www.public.iastate.edu/~jhutter/406/lectureoutline.doc

http://www.cwrl.utexas.edu/~tonya/309m/class/paper4/bowser/opinpoll.htm

http://www.csudh.edu/dearhabermas/sampling01.htm

http://www.bartleby.com/65/po/poll.html

http://www.stat.ucla.edu/~rgould/m12s01/survey.pdf

http://wwwstat.ucla.edu/~rgould/m12s01/survey.pdf

http://www.kellogg.nwu.edu/faculty/weber/decs-439b/A_Primer_on_Polls.htm

http://fly.hiwaay.net/~jmcmulle/450polls.htm

http://stat.tamu.edu/~amang/307/J307ch01.pdf

 

Pew Center Links

http://people-press.org/

http://people-press.org/reports/

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=12

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=89

 

Sample Survey Design Outline

Survey Sampling

Respondent Rights

 

Supplemental Sample Survey Notes

Sampling Designs

glossary gives a glossary of terms used in Sample Survey Designs.

 

Design Fault Spot

 

Design Faults – Clinical Trials

 

Clinical Trial Design Faults

Case Study 8

 

Design Faults – Sample Surveys

 

Sample Survey Design Faults

Case Study 7 

 

The Pew Survey on Religion in the US - An example of a good survey

An IRS Survey on Taxpayer Attitudes on Taxes - An example of a dubious survey

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ Study this and work on Design Fault Spot

 

16th June / ORD.1

Open Review Day – The First Hourly

 

21st June / HR.1

The First Hourly

 

 

M

W

 

23rd June   

Session 2.1: Descriptive Statistics

28th June

Session 2.2: , Summary Intervals, Confidence Estimation

Confidence Intervals – Mean, Proportion

30th June

Session 2.3: Confidence Intervals – Proportion

Population Inference – Hypothesis Tests

5th July                    

Holiday: No Classes

7th July

Session 2.4: Hypothesis Tests, Population Median

12th July

Session 2.5: Hypothesis Tests, Population Categories

14th July

ORD.2: Open Review Day 

19th July

HR.2: The Second Hourly

 

 

23rd June / Session 2.1

Descriptive Statistics

The Calculator

A Google Search for Help with the TI-83

Guidebooks for the TI Calculator Series

Making Friends with Your Calculator

http://www.math.tamu.edu/~khalman/calculator.htm

http://www.willamette.edu/~mjaneba/help/TI-82-stats.htm

 

Descriptive Statistics

 

Percentiles Sketch

Location - Measures of Location in Samples and Populations

Dispersion  

 

Case Study 3.1 – Serum Creatinine

Case Study 3.2 – Barrels of Monkeys

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ  

 

 

28th June / Session 2.2

 

Summary Intervals – Tchebysheff’s Inequalities and the Empirical Rule

 

Summary Intervals 1

Summary Intervals 2

 

Case Study 4 - Diseased Monkeys

Case Study 4.1 – Additional Case TBA

Overview, Confidence Intervals

Confidence Estimation of the Population Mean

 

Families gives perspectives on Families of Samples and Families of Estimates

Family2 gives yet more fun insights on Families of Samples, Intervals, Errors

bell curves and sample means gives insights on the approximate behavior of sample means.

a few notes about statistical inference

 

Confidence Intervals

Verification of the 95% Confidence Principle

mean tables gives tables for means and proportions intervals and  proportions.

confidence interval steps

CI Mean Slides

 

Case Study 1

Case Study 2

 

Verification of the 95% Confidence Principle – Summer 2010

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

30th June / Session 2.3

Confidence Intervals, Proportion

Confidence Estimation of the Population Proportion

 

Verification of the 95% Confidence Principle

 

CI Proportion Slides

 

proportions gives different viewpoints on the proportion in Statistics

 

Case Study 3

Case Study 4

 

Overview, Hypothesis Testing

 

The Hypothesis Test and Decision Theory

 

The idea of a statistical test is explored here.

The idea of a statistical test is further clarified

Hypothesis Test Schematic

Hypothesis Test Slides    

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

5th July / Holiday: No Classes

 

7th July / Session 2.4

Population Median Test

Hypothesis Test – Population Median

Median Test Slides

Median Test Examples

median presents the idea of the Sign Test of the Median

median test presents the Sign Test of the Median

median table presents p-values for the median test

median pictures a graphical view of the sign test

median test steps

 

Case Study 7

Case Study 8

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

12th July / Session 2.5

 

Hypothesis Test – Categorical Goodness-of-Fit

 

goodness of fit test slides

goodness of fit example

good tables give tables for the goodness-of-fit test

goodness of fit test steps

 

Case Study 9

Case Study 10

 

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle – Summer 2010

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle – Spring 2010

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle - Fall 2007 Update

 

Verification of the 5% testing principle - Spring 2008 Update

 

 

ÜSummaryÛ

 

14th June / ORD.2

 

Open Review Day / The Second Hourly

 

19th June / HR.2

 

In-class Test Day / The Second Hourly

 

M

W

19th July

HR.2: The Second Hourly

21st July

Open Review Day: Comprehensive Final Exam

26th July

Final Exam (8.00pm Section): 8.00-10.00 pm

 

Preparing for the Comprehensive Final

Comprehensive Final Archive

Course Ends